🎯 Goal
Trade prediction markets end-to-end in natural language — discover markets, place market or limit bets on outcomes, track positions and PnL, redeem winnings after a market resolves, and even hand the whole loop to an automated strategy.
✅ Prerequisites
- Agentic Wallet installed and signed in.
- BSC USDT balance to fund bets (prediction trades are quoted and settled in USDT).
Browse & discover markets
Explore what's tradable by category, popularity, or keyword.
"What prediction market categories are available?"
The Agent lists the categories — for example: crypto, sports, politics, economy, and culture.
"Show me the most popular markets in the crypto category"
"List crypto markets sorted by volume"
"Search prediction markets about the next Fed rate decision"
The Agent returns the matching markets with their current odds and volume, and can sort by recommended, volume, participants, newest, or soonest-to-resolve.
Inspect a market before betting
"Show me the full detail of this market"
"What are the current odds for the 'Yes' outcome?"
"What was the last traded price on this market?"
The Agent summarizes the market — the question, resolution date, each outcome's implied probability, and recent activity. Prices sit between 0 and 1 USDT and read as the market's implied probability, so a "Yes" at 0.62 means the market prices that outcome at ~62%.
Note: the last-traded price is a historical fill, not a live quote — it can be stale. The Agent always pulls a fresh quote before placing an order.
Place a bet
Prediction trading always quotes first, then places on your confirmation.
"Buy 'Up' in the most recent BTC 15m price market with 5 USDT"
The Agent replies with the quote in plain language — for example: "5 USDT buys about 8.1 shares of 'Up' at an average price of 0.61, with a 1.2% price impact and a 0.02 USDT fee. Confirm to place?" On your confirmation it places the order and reports back.
Both market and limit orders are supported:
"Place a limit buy for 'Yes' at 0.60 USDT with 20 USDT"
"Sell 10 shares of my 'Up' position at market"
A buy amount is the USDT you spend; a sell amount is the number of shares you sell.
Check positions & PnL
"What are my current prediction positions?"
"Show my prediction portfolio and unrealized PnL"
"Show my settled positions — only the ones I won"
The Agent groups your positions into ongoing, ended, and ready-to-claim, and summarizes your PnL — for example: "You hold 3 ongoing positions worth ~42 USDT, up 11% unrealized. One resolved position is ready to claim."
Track & cancel orders
"Show my prediction order history"
"Which of my prediction orders are still open?"
"Cancel my pending prediction order"
The Agent lists your orders with their status and can cancel any that are still resting. Placing an order isn't the same as it filling — market orders usually fill quickly, while limit orders rest until the price is hit, so the Agent always verifies status before reporting a bet as complete.
Redeem winnings
Once a market resolves in your favor, claim the payout:
"Do I have any winning predictions ready to claim?"
"Redeem my winning prediction positions"
The Agent finds your ready-to-claim positions and triggers the redemption on-chain, then confirms the payout landed in your wallet.
Automated strategies
Beyond manual bets, you can hand the whole loop to the Agent and let it watch, judge, and bet on the BTC 5-minute "Up / Down" market for you over the long run.
Example — Price-trend-based Up/Down betting
"Keep tracking BTC's price action and pull the settlement results of the last few 5-minute Up/Down rounds. Before each round settles, run a technical read on that price data — say short-term moving-average direction and recent momentum — to judge whether the next 5 minutes is more likely to settle Up or Down, then bet 10 USDT on the side you favor. Keep my total open exposure in the BTC 5-minute Up/Down market under 50 USDT, take profit once the overall position is up +30% and cut losses at −20%, and tell me the direction and reasoning on every bet."
The Agent keeps tracking price action and each round's outcome, runs a technical read before every round to form a directional view, bets on that side within your 50 USDT exposure cap, and watches overall PnL to apply the +30% take-profit and −20% stop-loss — reporting the direction and reason on each action, until you stop it.
💡 Tip: Agentic Wallet focuses on prediction-market trading. BTC price data must be supplied via your own data source or a relevant Skill.
⚠️ Risk notice
Prediction outcomes are binary — a position can go to zero if the market resolves against you, and outcome-token liquidity can be thin. Resolution depends on the market's oracle. Do your own research (DYOR) — Skills provide information and execution capability only, never investment advice.
What's next
- Stock Trading — Trade tokenized stocks (bStock and Ondo).
- DeFi — Earn yield, provide liquidity, and manage protocol positions.
- Automated Strategies — Automate discovery and trading with Skills.